Over the past few years one cannot help noticing the radical measures
the Republicans have resorted to in order to defeat President Obama and
regain power. The problem is that it is all being done at the expense
of our democracy.
I am not referring to the 37 times the House
Republicans tried to abolish the Affordable Care Act or to the endless
hearings on Capitol Hill to find a scandal to hang around the
President's neck.
It is said that on the very night President
Obama was being inaugurated for his first term top Republicans were
huddled up over dinner in Washington planning a strategy to obstruct his
legislative agenda.
I refer to an obvious 3 point plan the
Republicans devised to make President Obama in the words of Senator
Mitch McConnell "a one term President".
The plan was first- to win
control of state legislatures, second- use their power over the
redistricting process and gerrymander the US House districts in their
favor and third- use the redistricting advantage at the presidential
level.
The GOP achieved the first part of the plan in 2010 by
exceeding expectations in the State Legislative elections by winning 54
of 99 State legislative chambers, its highest since 1952. This gave the
Republicans control over the redistricting process in 20 states compared
to 7 for the Democrats. According to Tim Storey of the National
Conference of State Legislatures "2010 will go down as a defining
political election that will shape the national political landscape for
at least the next 10 years" (Republicans Exceed Expectations in 2010
State Legislative Elections - NCSL News, November 3, 2010).
Republican success was attributed mainly to apathy on the part of Democratic voters.
The
GOP wasted no time in implementing the second part of their plan to
regain power in the US House of Representatives and thus have power to
obstruct President Obama's legislative agenda. How were they able to do
this?
GERRYMANDERING
The Republicans regained the majority
in the US House through the system of gerrymandering, that is to say,
the GOP legislatures increased the number of districts in places where
the GOP is strong and in Democratic areas they decreased the number by
making them bigger.
The Brennan Center for Justice estimates that
the GOP picked up 6 additional House seats in 2012 due to redistricting.
In a study by Professor Sam Wang of Princeton University the Democrats
got 1.4 million more votes than Republicans in House races yet the GOP
won 234 seats to the Democrats 201. (LA Times, Feb. 6, 2013 by David
Horsey- Short of votes, Republicans gerrymander way back to power).
Gerrymandering
is highly undemocratic because it causes some votes to carry more
weight than others which is contrary to the principle of "one man, one
vote" which requires that votes should not be weighted.
The point is that if you get to choose the ground on which electoral battles are fought, you are likely to win them.
Interestingly,
in the Senate as well the Republicans are represented far beyond their
proportion of the electorate. This is because of the small-state
advantage i.e. they have the majority among the 20 smallest states.
The
Republicans have used their majority in the House to obstruct the
President at every turn. They were aided by the Senate Republicans who
although they were in the minority they could block legislative action
by the use of the filibuster i.e. endless debate to prevent bills from
coming to a vote.
This ploy was originally used in exceptional
circumstances by both parties but between 2007 and 2009 it affected a
record 70% of major legislation (US News & World Report - The
Staggering Rise of the filibuster, by Robert Schlesinger, November 25,
2009).
They blocked bills proposed by President Obama though they
originally supported them such as Cap and Trade, Infrastructure
spending, mandates under the Affordable Care Act, the Dream Act and
raising the debt-ceiling.
Through their majority in the House and
their manipulative advantage in the Senate the Republicans hoped they
could leverage these in presidential elections and achieve the third
part of their plan which was to win the big prize - the White House.
VOTER SUPPRESSION
After
the Republicans gained new statehouse majorities in the 2010 elections,
the majority of States introduced proposals to enact restrictions on
the right to vote. The name of the game was voter suppression i.e.
influence the outcome of an election by preventing the people who might
vote against your candidate from exercising their right to vote.
According
to The Brennan Center for Justice 25 laws and 2 executive actions were
passed in 19 states between 2011 and 2012 to impose ID restrictions,
shorten early voting, purge voter rolls or limit registration drives
among other measures. They were targeted mainly at minorities who are
traditional Democratic voters.
The GOP supported voter suppression
as a way of making the electorate older, whiter, and more conservative.
But the push backfired when opponents turned out in larger numbers for
Obama, cementing a bloc that was younger and more diverse than in 2008,
giving Obama a comfortable victory in 2012. The shifting demographics of
the country indicate that Obama's coalition will continue to grow and
so the GOP had to find a new way to dilute the influence of Democratic
voters.
GERRYMANDERING THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE
Stalin once
said that the important thing in an election is not those who cast the
votes but those who count them. So in the wake of Romney's defeat and
the backfiring of the suppression tactics, the GOP came up with a new
voter suppression strategy i.e. gerrymander the Electoral College. They
want to extend their redistricting advantage to presidential elections.
Each
state can allocate the electoral votes however it wants but in every
state, the contest is winner-take-all (except Nebraska and Maine). The
Republicans want to change that. They want to award electoral votes by
congressional districts. This is undemocratic because it means a
candidate can win the majority of electoral votes in a state even though
he lost the popular vote.
The reasoning behind the new GOP plan
is that in 2012 in all the battleground states, according to Think
Progress, assuming Romney won all the Republican congressional
districts, the GOP plan would have given Romney 17 electoral votes in
Florida, 9 in Michigan, 12 in Ohio, 13 in Pennsylvania, 8 in Virginia
and 5 in Wisconsin for a total of 64 additional electoral votes. Add
this to the 206 he won legitimately and he would have had 270 and the
White House.
According to Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report,
the GOP now hold a majority of House seats in 30 states, compared to 17
for the Democrats giving them a big advantage in any bid to rig the
Electoral College (Ari Berman, The GOP's New Voter Suppression Strategy:
Gerrymander the Electoral College, The Nation December 10, 2012).
The
Republicans have proposed changes in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where
legislation has been introduced and in Michigan and Ohio where the
change is being considered.
ABOLISHING LOCAL DEMOCRACY
One
of the most radical things done by the conservative legislatures and
Governors ushered into power in 2010 was in Michigan where there is a
law now giving Governor Snyder the right to abolish local democracy i.e.
the right to vote for local officials. The governor can abolish local
governments elected by the people and replace them with Emergency
Managers, a non-elected appointee of the governor.
Cities and
towns, populated primarily by minorities, are targeted and it is
estimated that almost 50% of African Americans in Michigan have been
disenfranchised. The rationalization given for it is that it provides
more efficient government but there is no evidence to support this in
Michigan. This is a famous ploy used in other countries by conservative
governments to circumvent the will of the people when it is of another
political persuasion.
THE IRS "SCANDAL"
We are now almost
halfway through the first year of President Obama's second term and the
GOP is now focusing its anti-Obama campaign on so called "scandals" to
try to embarrass the administration. On Capitol Hill we have had endless
hearings on Fast and Furious, Benghazi and now the IRS scandal. The
Press has jumped on the IRS issue and indulged in wild speculation as to
how it can harm the Obama administration. Their efforts would have been
more fruitful had they focused on what is the real scandal. Let me
explain.
The allegation is that Tea Party and other conservative groups were targeted by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS).
Under
26 U.S.C. 501 (c) (4) organizations can claim tax-exempt status if they
operate "exclusively" for the promotion of social welfare. Exclusively
means 100% involvement.
The Department of the Treasury in 1958
implemented a regulation interpreting exclusively to mean "primarily".
Primarily means 51% or more and less than 100%. This was wrong because
the IRS as an executive agency was interpreting (a judicial function)
and changing (a legislative function) a statute. Constitutionally, these
functions can only be performed by the courts and Congress
respectively.
This change created a loophole through which
organizations which were involved in political activities such as
lobbying up to 49% could claim 501(c) (4) status and thus could increase
political contributions without reporting them.
Had the IRS
applied the law as WRITTEN there would have been no scandal because 501
(c) (4) excludes any political activity whatsoever.
The Real
scandal is that organizations could thwart the intent of Congress and
cause problems of political campaign financing instead of serving social
welfare and the common good (Urban Law Group-The Real 2013 IRS Scandal,
May 23, 2013).
CONCLUSION
The point of this Article is that
the Republicans tried by fair and foul means to defeat President Obama
at the polls but are short of the votes so the new strategy is to change
the rules. They are replacing democracy with 'minority rule'.
Most
of the voting restrictions were not in place for 2012, thanks to a
dozen court actions and the US Department of Justice blocking the
majority of them.
It remains to be seen what voter suppression
tactics will be in place in 2014 and 2016 as new suppression laws have
been proposed or passed and some of the older ones have been cleared for
use in later elections.
A notable example of the former is in
North Carolina where the Republican legislature has proposed legislation
to penalize parents of college students who vote in the town where they
go to college. The intention here is clearly to target another group
that voted for President Obama - the youth vote.
As regards the
push to abolish local democracy it is up to the voters to reverse that
at the polls and the effort to suppress the Electoral College should be
changed to an effort to abolish it.
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